Knowledge & Insights

De senaste åren har norra Sverige varit i fokus i elektrifieringen av Europas industri med löften om en kraftig tillväxt i välfärd, elkonsumtion och förnybar elproduktion.

Dunkelflaute är ett tyskt uttryck som betyder "mörk stiltje" och beskriver en period med låg vind- och solkraftsproduktion, ofta kombinerat med kallt väder. Sådana perioder ställer höga krav på energisystemet, eftersom de förnybara energikällorna inte själva kan möta efterfrågan.

Att fjärrvärmen historiskt varit en prisvärd produkt, haft en låg grad av konkurrens och ett starkt politiskt stöd har gjort att förändringstakten i fjärrvärmebranschen har varit låg. Men nu minskar fjärrvärmens konkurrenskraft av framförallt tre anledningar:

Sigholm kvantifierar och analyserar kontinuerligt de stora förändringar som pågår i Europas energisystem. I vår färska långtidsprognos har vi vägt samman flera olika aspekter och simulerat elpriset för åren 2024-2050 per svenskt elprisområde och per kraftslag.

From the time electricity first reached homes and buildings until today, there has been a major development in how electricity use is measured and priced. As the energy system is transformed, there are now completely new demands for smarter price signals, not only from the electricity market but also from the electricity networks.

Contracts for Difference (CfD) have been discussed since the electricity price spikes of 2022. The tool as such is not new, but has been used for a long time in Europe to support new construction of wind and nuclear power. In the debate, there are many interpretations of CfD and sometimes the acronym appears as a panacea, a solution to almost everything.

Since 2020, electricity prices have been much more volatile. This is because intermittent power generation is now a significant part of the European and Nordic electricity system. The increasing volatility of electricity prices opens up new business opportunities. Those who actively manage their exposures create major advantages compared to those who are passive. If handled correctly, flexible consumption, production and storage can bring major benefits to both the operator and the system.

Time to reinvent the spot price of electricity? Today, producers, traders and consumers feel that the spot price for electricity is outdated. The day-ahead market does not reflect the reality we are already in and risks being even less suitable in the future. It increases risks, causes welfare losses and slows down electrification. Read our latest analysis.

Sigholm Tech continuously quantifies and analyses the major changes taking place in Europe's energy system. In our recent long-term forecast, we have weighed up several different aspects and simulate the electricity price for the years 2023-2050 per Swedish electricity price area and per power type...

The mild and rainy weather that has dominated since July turned cold and dry in October. The average temperature in the Nordic Region was 9 degrees Celsius lower in October than in September, a bigger drop than the seasonal 5 degrees. The lower temperatures increased the heating load, which increased electricity consumption by 21 per cent...

Sigholm is continuously quantifying and analysing the rapid changes taking place in Europe's energy system. In our recent long-term forecast, we have weighed up several different aspects and simulated the electricity price for the years 2023-2050 per electricity trading area and per power type. Below is a selection of our conclusions...

It has been a very eventful first half of 2023 and the autumn will be just as challenging. The average global temperature is higher than ever, the price of emissions is more expensive, biomass is more expensive and politics is more uncertain. At the same time, the energy crisis continues and may well bring more surprises. Here is an overview of some key aspects for the autumn.